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Recent Posts
- Trade Idea Wrap-up: USD/JPY – Hold long entered at 84.50
- Trade Idea: USD/CAD – Hold long entered at 1.0510
- ECB To Extend Full Allotment Of Refinancing Operations Towards Year-End
- EURUSD: Struggling To Recover Higher
- U.S. Recovery is Tracking Traditional Experience after Financial Crisis Induced Recessions
- Monthly Economic Outlook – August 2010
- Trade Idea Update: GBP/USD – Sell at 1.5470
- GBP/USD – Approaching Sell Zone
- FX Monthly – August 2010
- Trade Idea Update: USD/CHF – Sell at 1.0465
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Outlook Archive
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Monthly Economic Outlook – August 2010
Posted on August 26, 2010 | No CommentsOur outlook has no double-dip, no V-shaped recovery, no hyper-inflation in response to the Fed’s enlarged balance sheet, and no deflation in response to the Fed’s failure to increase the balance sheet even more. Instead, our outlook is for moderate, subpar growth during the second... -
International Financial Outlook August 2010
Posted on August 10, 2010 | No CommentsSigns of weaker economic growth in the US has led to a fall in the dollar and a rise in its counterparts. Notable amongst the latter has been the seeming turnaround in the fortunes of the euro. It has moved from being under 1.20 versus... -
International Financial Outlook July 2010
Posted on July 13, 2010 | No CommentsOverarching themes driving global financial markets have not changed significantly in the last month but some of the intensity has faded. Renewed euro buying relative to the dollar does not mean that concerns about the risk of sovereign debt default in Europe has gone away... -
Weekly Review and Outlook: Defining Week for Dollar ahead, Would Trend Line Support Hold?
Posted on July 10, 2010 | No CommentsDollar and yen were broadly lower last week as stocks rebounded strongly on hope for solid earning reports. S&P 500 posted the biggest weekly gain in a year and rose 5.4% over the week. DOW also jumped 5.2% to close above 10,000 again at 10198.... -
GBPUSD – Outlook Higher But Consolidating
Posted on July 9, 2010 | No CommentsHaving continued to maintain its consolidation price activities, we expect GBP to eventually end that correction and prompt further upside momentum aiming at its falling trendline presently located at the 1.5314 level. This level is likely to hold as resistance on initial test and turn... -
Monthly Economic Outlook – July 2010
Posted on July 9, 2010 | No CommentsThe wave of disappointing economic reports this past month combined with the inability of the Administration to push additional stimulus through an election-wary Congress has reawakened fears about a double-dip. We continue to believe such fears are overblown. We remain concerned that so much stimulus... -
Weekly Review and Outlook: Swiss Franc and Japanese Yen Shone as Stocks Tumbled. …
Posted on July 4, 2010 | No CommentsSwiss Franc and Japanese yen were the major winner last week and another round of risk aversion moves. We had DOW, FTSE and Nikkei, as well as some other major stock indices made new 2010 low. Commodity currencies were hardest hit with respective yen and... -
Weekly Review and Outlook: Yen Broadly Higher as Equities Reversed, Dollar Lagged Behind
Posted on June 27, 2010 | No CommentsPrice actions in financial markets were rather mixed last week. The Japanese yen was the biggest winner on risk aversion as global equities posted sharp decline. DOW, FTSE and Nikkei all had single reversal weekly bar. DOW closed the week -2.9% lower. FTSE was down... -
International Financial Outlook June 2010
Posted on June 22, 2010 | No CommentsFinancial markets continued to gyrate wildly in the past month. That said, the package of support measures from European governments has helped to calm fears of imminent default in the so-called peripheral countries in the euro zone, like Greece, Ireland, Portugal and Spain. Nevertheless, a...