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Recent Posts
- Trade Idea Wrap-up: USD/CHF – Buy at 0.8970
- Weekly Review and Outlook: Risk Recovery Short Lived, Dollar to Extend Rally in a Busy Week ahead
- Trade Idea: EUR/JPY – Sell at 104.50
- EUR/USD Short Term Bear Flag?
- Liquidity Crisis? A Currency Perspective
- GBP/USD Candlesticks and Ichimoku Analysis
- Euro Area: Debt Crisis Set to Continue for Years
- GBP/USD Medium Term Downchannel and the QE Debate
- Trade Idea: USD/CHF – Buy at 0.8710
- Trade Idea: USD/CHF – Buy at 0.8440
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Financial Markets Monthly – August 2010: Global Economy Set to Grow at More Sustainable Pace
Posted on August 14, 2010 | No CommentsThe global economy grew at a rapid rate in early 2010 with the International Monetary Fund (IMF) calculating that GDP output increased at a faster than 5% annualized pace in the first quarter of the year. Trade volumes and global industrial production surged, and the... -
Global Markets: Managing Low Growth and Return Expectations in a More Volatile World
Posted on July 15, 2010 | No CommentsThe global economy is at a sensitive point in the cycle as it transitions from policy driven expansion to sustained private demand. Global purchasing manager’s surveys peaked in May, and the growth tailwind from the inventory rebuild is blowing with less force. We are at... -
Dollar Sold off as UN Called for More Stable Reserve System
Posted on July 2, 2010 | No CommentsDollar is sold off sharply today as UN called to ditch it as global reserve currency. In addition, funds are flowing back from dollar and gold to Euro as fear on Eurozone funding pressure eased. EUR/USD jumped sharply and broke 1.2466 resistance to resume the... -
EUR/USD: Greenback Weakness Suggests More Consolidation
Posted on July 1, 2010 | No CommentsThe correction rally from 1.2150 was expected as mentioned in the Chartist Corner (I won’t get the recording up until Friday unfortunately). I was looking for topping action coming out of this rally. I mentioned after waiting for 2 swings. In this case, the second... -
SNB Left Rates Unchanged, More Tolerant To EURCHF Decline
Posted on June 17, 2010 | No CommentsAs widely anticipated, the SNB maintained the 3-month Libor target at 0.25%. President Philipp Hildebrand acknowledged strength in economic recovery although slump in euro has sent the franc higher and affected export trades. Swiss franc rallies after the report as the central bank said that... -
Weekly Review and Outlook: Dollar Pulled Back as Risk Sentiments Improved, More Consolidations Ahead
Posted on June 13, 2010 | No CommentsRisk sentiment was given a boost last week by strong data from Asia. China exports jumped the most in six years by 48.5% yoy in April. Japan Q1 GDP was revised up to 5.0% annualized. Australia unemployment rate dropped to 5.4% in May. MSCI World... -
Global Markets: Once More Unto the Breach, Dear Risk
Posted on May 23, 2010 | No CommentsTimed from the trough in equity markets, we are now one year out from the start of the recovery. The context of the story has gyrated from bailouts of banks to governments, but the overall story remains the ebb and flow of risk appetite. There... -
FX Forecast Update: More EUR Weakness ahead – but the Worst is Likely Behind
Posted on May 21, 2010 | No CommentsIn several issues of FX Forecast Update we have written about the risk related to the debt situation in the PIIGS countries. Admittedly however, we did underestimate the impact on the FX market – not least on EUR/USD. We revised our 3M EUR/USD forecast lower... -
Weekly Review and Outlook: EUR/USD Heading to 2008 Low, More Downside Ahead
Posted on May 15, 2010 | No CommentsEuro got brief support from EU/ECB’s announcement last week but selling quickly re-emerged to send Euro sharply lower against dollar as well as commodity currencies. EUR/USD dropped to as low as 1.2352, just inch above 2008 low of 1.2329. EUR/CAD dropped to lowest level since...